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Newsletter March 2017

FIXED INCOME UPDATE - INTEREST RATE OVERVIEW

The 10-year Treasury yield fell to levels not seen since November 2016 when markets were still pensive about the outcome of the presidential election. The retreat of Treasury bond yields may signal that the strong asset flows into equities may be easing up.

Comments by Federal Reserve members in February signaled a solidifying stance for a rate hike as soon as March. Fed member William Dudley cited “sturdy job gains, increase in inflation, and rising optimism among business owners” as viable reasons for higher rates.

Bond yields stopped rising in February and reversed course as lower yields became the norm. Equity investors hesitated at the end of February and reallocated some assets to bonds, driving fixed income prices higher.

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Sources: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg